Written by Konstantinos Konstantinidis Amphfiktyon
Learning means not only collecting verified facts, but also processing and understanding them. And he understands them who does not accept the facts as the propaganda offers them, but processes them in his mind by connecting them to the previous ones. That is, it relates them, analyzes them, synthesizes them and ranks them chronologically from the past to the present and extends them into the future. He tries to find the root of the cause which leads to the effect. For example, the First World War (1914-1918) began with the assassination of the Crown Prince of Austria in Sarajevo. But no one naively believes that this was the cause of the deaths of millions of people. So the real cause was different, namely the sharp economic competition between France and England with Germany. No one also believes that Russia’s war against Ukraine was a momentary event, but due to competition for NATO to make Ukraine its forward base, literally in Russia’s “strategic underbelly.” And yet, propaganda has managed to Russia for starting a pointless war by ignoring the previous events, that is, that Russia had set a “red line” if the West armed Ukraine with NATO weapons, likening its case to that of the Cuban missiles and the 1962 crisis between the U.S. and the Soviet Union. To omit the reassuring letters of the NATO that they will refrain from any promotion of NATO in the European territories of the former USSR. This is the dark space that only the experts know about and the propaganda exploits it wildly with the promotion of Western anti-ballistic weapons systems in Eastern Ukraine, he put Russian nuclear weapons on five (5′) minute warning. (PO)
By such analyzes the critical mind is led to a useful distinction (introduced by mathematical thought) between “necessary” and “sufficient” conditions. Necessary for our example is that condition which absolutely must exist for a war of world war proportions to break out. If, for example, Zelensky and the West were to create a “buffer zone” in Ukraine, as was the case in the Scandinavian countries in the past, there would not be sufficient conditions to start a war. As long as NATO did not equip Ukraine with modern weapons, there was no sufficient condition for the Russian attack to explode. The treaty became necessary after NATO advanced anti-aircraft weapons systems that effectively disabled Russian nuclear forces and made Moscow vulnerable to ballistic strikes.
And to answer the question when do we estimate that there will be a necessary condition for Russia to declare nuclear war? This will happen when Moscow has exhausted its conventional capabilities in countering Ukraine’s deep-seated attacks on its soil, and may be getting close. But once the first P.Os fall, no one is any longer certain that the conflict will not escalate into a nuclear exchange between the West and Russia. Europe will be the first victim.
Of course, there is also an intermediate stage, namely the involvement of China with conventional troops on the Ukrainian front, which will complicate the situation by expanding the war between East and West. Unfortunately, the people under the stormy brainwashing of the mass media remain in the dark, while they also accept the painful results of the wars (Ukraine-Northeast) and they will be the victims of a Nuclear War. So let’s work for logic to prevail and peace finally prevails (8/21/24)
* Amphiktyon is Lieutenant General Konstantinos Konstantinidis
Writer, Member of the Society of Greek Writers
amphiktyon@gmail.com
http://amphiktyon.blogspot.com/
https://amphiktyon.org
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