Written by Konstantinos Konstantinidis Amphiktyon
The global system has been overturned. The zatrikio has been stirred up and now a new batch is beginning. The principles of the post-Yalta era have ceased to apply. Turkey started with the invasion of Cyprus in 1974 and it has continued. The old alliances have ended and new ones are tending to be created. NATO has long been “dead” as Mr. Macron had said. Everything is fluid like the magma of the Columbo volcano. Earthquakes will be constant from now on, but no one knows how the new world will be shaped? The trends that are faintly appearing are the following, without anyone being sure what will happen 1/ The US has reread the “Thucydides lessons”, where “the strong makes use of their strength as long as it allows and as long as it lasts and the weak retreats as long as their weakness allows”. However, because the US is heavily indebted, but currently strong, they took the initiative to stop the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, and to form new alliances and new balances always in their interests. 2/ The US-Europe and NATO alliance has ended irrevocably and Europe is steadily sliding into isolation and a third-world situation. 3/ The new US-Russia axis is beginning to rise timidly and steadily. The US failed to dismantle Russia and is now returning to the Kissinger doctrine: “Russia should not form a Greater Eurasia with China” 4/ The US has built bridges to ally with Russia because it expects great business and geostrategic profits from the exploitation of vast Siberia, the opening of the new Arctic route, rare earths, abundant energy and a loyal ally since the Second World War on the side of the rising superpower China. 5/ The US is abandoning the self-absorbed Europe which is unable even to govern itself. This will not constitute, as it seems, a new pole in the new multipolar system that is being created (2+1 USA-CHINA +Russia) 6/ From now on, the EU is an intermediate power, like India, Brazil, Japan, etc. 7/ After its isolation from the USA, Europe has no other solution than to ally itself commercially with China as a good consumer, but this will eventually end when the citizens of the EU become very poor and needy and then perhaps it too will turn to rich Russia. 8/ Europe will remain a unique phenomenon in history where it was unable to unite, to govern itself, to develop its wealth, to modernize, to be governed by competent and not by charlatans and incompetent leaders and, worst of all, it was unable to be exemplified by its historical sufferings. Now it is too late and it will pay for its degradation to a third world country. 9/ In the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East there are five (5) powers currently opposed to each other (Israel, Turkey, Iran and Saudi Arabia and Egypt). If Turkey breaks with Israel then its future is uncertain. For the time being the cunning and deceitful Erdogan plays the game of correlations and balances masterfully. It is not excluded that he will cling as a mentor, protector and supplier of the EU, so the future of our country looks bleak. 10/ However, the EU also had one success!! : She instigated a destructive war for her in her home that favored America and Russia, she was deprived of the advantages she had from the latter (cheap energy, raw materials, trade, etc.) Now the USA and Russia have despised her and did not even accept her in negotiations, but they are making her pay the bill (2-3 trillion, Euros according to Bloomberg) for the reconstruction of Ukraine and the maintenance of peacekeeping troops, in addition to the costs of the war so far. And yet these fatal leaders did not feel ashamed to empty our corner together? Because the global volcano is still shaking and boiling, no one can predict how the world will evolve tomorrow. What is certain is that it will be completely different from today. (17/2/25) * Amphiktyon Major General (retd) Konstantinos Konstantinidis
Author, Member of the Society of Greek Writers
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